Santa Cruz RN vs Força e Luz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.5%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
26.4%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+39%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Cruz RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2020 |
ARN
3 - 1
SAN
68%
19%
13%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
POT
0 - 1
SAN
51%
24%
25%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2019 |
FLO
3 - 0
SAN
58%
23%
19%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2019 |
SAN
0 - 3
BPA
33%
27%
40%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2019 |
SAN
2 - 2
RIV
27%
28%
45%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Força e Luz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2020 |
ABC
4 - 2
FEL
75%
16%
9%
|
30 | 56 | 26 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
ARN
4 - 1
FEL
74%
16%
11%
|
31 | 46 | 15 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
FEL
0 - 4
ABC
7%
14%
79%
|
31 | 57 | 26 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
ARN
2 - 0
FEL
75%
15%
10%
|
32 | 47 | 15 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2019 |
PAL
0 - 1
FEL
44%
22%
34%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +1 |