Santa Cruz RN vs Força e Luz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
20.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+39%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Cruz RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
ARN
2 - 0
SAN
52%
23%
24%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
POT
0 - 2
SAN
36%
26%
38%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2019 |
SAN
1 - 0
TUP
21%
25%
54%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | +2 |
| 31 Jan. 2019 |
ABC
1 - 0
SAN
71%
19%
10%
|
41 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
SAN
0 - 0
ASS
58%
25%
17%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Força e Luz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2019 |
FEL
0 - 0
ASS
44%
23%
32%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
ABC
0 - 0
FEL
77%
15%
8%
|
31 | 56 | 25 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2019 |
FEL
1 - 2
PAL
46%
22%
32%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2019 |
FEL
1 - 2
ARN
22%
23%
55%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
GLO
3 - 0
FEL
64%
21%
15%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | -1 |