Santa Cruz RN vs Força e Luz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.4%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
25.8%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Cruz RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2018 |
GLO
1 - 2
SAN
61%
23%
17%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
ASS
1 - 1
SAN
60%
22%
17%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
SAN
0 - 1
ABC
13%
21%
66%
|
37 | 57 | 20 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
SAN
0 - 2
POT
31%
26%
43%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
ALE
0 - 1
SAN
50%
23%
27%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Força e Luz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2018 |
ASS
2 - 0
FEL
64%
20%
16%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2018 |
FEL
0 - 1
GLO
20%
23%
58%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
FEL
0 - 4
ARN
17%
22%
61%
|
35 | 50 | 15 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
FEL
1 - 0
COR
36%
23%
41%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
FEL
1 - 3
ALE
29%
25%
46%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | -2 |