Santa Cruz RN vs Bahía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
5.9%
Win probability
0.39
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.9%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
1.3%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
5%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
7%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.1%
0
17.3%
76.8%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
18%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.1%
0-2
18.4%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
23.7%
0-3
12.5%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.2%
-3
15.2%
0-4
6.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
7.5%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.1%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Cruz RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
GLO
1 - 0
SAN
57%
24%
19%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2019 |
SAN
0 - 1
FEL
56%
23%
21%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
ARN
2 - 0
SAN
52%
23%
24%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
POT
0 - 2
SAN
36%
26%
38%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2019 |
SAN
1 - 0
TUP
21%
25%
54%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
ALT
0 - 5
BAH
8%
19%
74%
|
77 | 40 | 37 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2019 |
JAC
1 - 0
BAH
7%
18%
75%
|
78 | 42 | 36 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
FOR
2 - 2
BAH
36%
28%
36%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2019 |
LFC
0 - 0
BAH
44%
26%
30%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
VIT
1 - 3
BAH
12%
22%
67%
|
78 | 44 | 34 | 0 |