Santa Cruz RN vs Baraunas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
37.2%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Cruz RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
ALE
1 - 0
SAN
52%
25%
24%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 4
GLO
30%
26%
44%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | -3 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
ARN
2 - 0
SAN
81%
14%
6%
|
43 | 65 | 22 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2014 |
COR
1 - 1
SAN
45%
25%
30%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 0
ASS
47%
26%
27%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Baraunas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2014 |
BAR
3 - 1
ARN
11%
21%
68%
|
44 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
GLO
4 - 0
BAR
56%
23%
21%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2014 |
BAR
1 - 1
GLO
34%
26%
40%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
GLO
0 - 0
BAR
59%
22%
19%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2014 |
ASS
2 - 3
BAR
41%
26%
33%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | +1 |