Santa Cruz RN vs ASSU analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.9%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.5%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.9%
17.2%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Cruz RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2019 |
SAN
1 - 1
PAL
61%
20%
19%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2019 |
SAN
0 - 0
GLO
30%
27%
42%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2019 |
FEL
1 - 1
SAN
26%
23%
51%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2019 |
SAN
0 - 1
ARN
38%
27%
35%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2018 |
SAN
2 - 2
POT
55%
24%
21%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
ASSU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2019 |
ASS
2 - 3
ABC
9%
17%
74%
|
35 | 58 | 23 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
ASS
0 - 0
POT
36%
25%
39%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
GLO
0 - 0
ASS
70%
20%
10%
|
34 | 50 | 16 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2019 |
ASS
1 - 1
FEL
39%
23%
38%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
MOT
1 - 0
ASS
73%
17%
10%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | -1 |