Santa Cruz RN vs ASSU analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
36.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Cruz RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2017 |
ARN
0 - 0
SAN
76%
16%
8%
|
35 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
POT
2 - 1
SAN
48%
25%
27%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 2
ALE
39%
26%
35%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2017 |
SAN
0 - 2
BAR
30%
27%
43%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
ABC
4 - 1
SAN
73%
17%
10%
|
39 | 56 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
ASSU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2017 |
POT
2 - 0
ASS
41%
26%
33%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
ARN
4 - 1
ASS
71%
18%
11%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
ASS
1 - 1
GLO
34%
25%
41%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2017 |
ASS
1 - 1
ABC
20%
24%
56%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
BAR
0 - 1
ASS
53%
25%
22%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | +1 |