Santa Cruz RN vs ASSU analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.2%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
26.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Cruz RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2014 |
BAR
2 - 1
SAN
44%
27%
30%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 1
BAR
48%
26%
26%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2014 |
ASS
0 - 1
SAN
49%
25%
26%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
SAN
6 - 0
COR
42%
26%
33%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | +2 |
| 01 May. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 2
POT
37%
26%
37%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
ASSU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2014 |
COR
2 - 1
ASS
47%
25%
28%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
ASS
0 - 2
COR
51%
24%
25%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | -2 |
| 17 Jan. 2014 |
ASS
0 - 1
SAN
49%
25%
26%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
BAR
0 - 0
ASS
42%
27%
31%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2013 |
ASS
0 - 2
ABC
17%
22%
61%
|
44 | 64 | 20 | -1 |