Santa Cruz RN vs América RN analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.5%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
8.1%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20.3%
69.1%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
15.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.3%
0-2
15%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.6%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
12.6%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Cruz RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
BAR
0 - 0
SAN
48%
26%
26%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 0
ALE
40%
27%
34%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | +2 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
GLO
1 - 0
SAN
65%
21%
15%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 1
ABC
16%
23%
60%
|
40 | 62 | 22 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2014 |
POT
2 - 2
SAN
47%
26%
27%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
América RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
ARN
2 - 0
GLO
76%
15%
10%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2014 |
ARN
2 - 0
CEA
35%
25%
40%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | +2 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
ARN
4 - 2
BAR
76%
16%
8%
|
63 | 46 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2014 |
CEA
4 - 0
ARN
66%
20%
14%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
ARN
4 - 3
COR
76%
16%
9%
|
64 | 43 | 21 | 0 |