Santa Cruz RN vs Alecrim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.5%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
35.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+39%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Cruz RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2017 |
SAN
0 - 2
BAR
30%
27%
43%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
ABC
4 - 1
SAN
73%
17%
10%
|
39 | 56 | 17 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 1
GLO
30%
25%
45%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2017 |
ASS
2 - 0
SAN
43%
25%
32%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
SAN
0 - 0
ARN
17%
23%
61%
|
40 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Alecrim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2017 |
ARN
2 - 1
ALE
74%
17%
9%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
ALE
2 - 2
POT
46%
25%
29%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2017 |
ALE
1 - 1
ASS
46%
26%
29%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2017 |
GLO
3 - 0
ALE
48%
24%
28%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | -2 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
ALE
0 - 2
BAR
43%
26%
31%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | -1 |