Santa Cruz RN vs Alecrim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
33.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+39%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Cruz RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
GLO
1 - 0
SAN
65%
21%
15%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 1
ABC
16%
23%
60%
|
39 | 61 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2014 |
POT
2 - 2
SAN
47%
26%
27%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 1
COR
34%
26%
40%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 1
BAR
36%
27%
37%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Alecrim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
COR
2 - 1
ALE
44%
25%
30%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2014 |
ALE
1 - 1
POT
51%
25%
25%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
BAR
1 - 1
ALE
48%
26%
26%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
ALE
1 - 1
ARN
18%
23%
59%
|
42 | 63 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
ALE
1 - 1
GLO
32%
25%
44%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |