Santa Cruz RN vs ABC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.6%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.6%
20%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20%
68.4%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
13.8%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.2%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.7%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Cruz RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2019 |
ASS
0 - 3
SAN
32%
25%
43%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
PAL
2 - 1
SAN
21%
20%
59%
|
43 | 29 | 14 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2019 |
SAN
0 - 1
BAH
6%
17%
77%
|
43 | 78 | 35 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
GLO
1 - 0
SAN
57%
24%
19%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2019 |
SAN
0 - 1
FEL
56%
23%
21%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2019 |
SAM
0 - 1
ABC
39%
25%
36%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
ARN
3 - 0
ABC
21%
22%
56%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2019 |
ABC
2 - 2
MOT
60%
23%
17%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
ABC
4 - 1
SAL
53%
25%
22%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2019 |
ABC
1 - 0
PAL
76%
16%
8%
|
57 | 29 | 28 | +1 |