Santa Cruz vs Vitória analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.8%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
13%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
25.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2016 |
VIT
0 - 2
SAN
17%
23%
60%
|
72 | 51 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
SPO
0 - 0
SAN
47%
26%
27%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 0
SPO
40%
26%
34%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
CAM
1 - 1
SAN
22%
25%
53%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 1
CAM
69%
20%
12%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2016 |
POR
0 - 0
VIT
17%
22%
61%
|
73 | 52 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
BAH
1 - 0
VIT
36%
26%
37%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
VIT
2 - 0
BAH
56%
23%
21%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2016 |
VIT
3 - 1
NAU
92%
7%
2%
|
72 | 29 | 43 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2016 |
VIT
3 - 0
SDJ
81%
13%
6%
|
72 | 50 | 22 | 0 |