Santa Cruz vs Vitória analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.9%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.6%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
47.1%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2001 |
COT
1 - 0
SAN
63%
22%
15%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2001 |
SAN
2 - 1
AMF
40%
26%
34%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2001 |
BOT
1 - 0
SAN
62%
22%
16%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2001 |
SAN
3 - 2
GOI
30%
27%
43%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2001 |
JUV
2 - 0
SAN
63%
22%
16%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2001 |
VIT
1 - 0
GOI
53%
24%
24%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2001 |
BOT
2 - 0
VIT
37%
26%
38%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2001 |
COT
2 - 0
VIT
39%
26%
35%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2001 |
VIT
0 - 0
JUV
63%
21%
16%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2001 |
PPE
5 - 2
VIT
57%
22%
21%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | -1 |