Santa Cruz vs Vila Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.1%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.5%
9.4%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
CEA
0 - 2
SAN
65%
21%
15%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 0
VAS
24%
26%
50%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 1
BRA
48%
26%
26%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
PPE
1 - 1
SAN
61%
23%
16%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2014 |
JEC
1 - 1
SAN
57%
24%
19%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
VIL
4 - 1
SAM
24%
28%
49%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2014 |
BOA
3 - 0
VIL
64%
22%
14%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
VIL
0 - 1
JEC
18%
26%
56%
|
51 | 70 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2014 |
BRA
1 - 2
VIL
72%
19%
9%
|
50 | 66 | 16 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2014 |
VIL
1 - 5
CEA
13%
23%
64%
|
51 | 74 | 23 | -1 |