Santa Cruz vs Vera Cruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.6%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.5%
4-0
9.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
+4
11.1%
3-0
14.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
17%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.6%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.6%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
12.3%
4.1%
Win probability
0.4
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
ALT
2 - 0
SAN
21%
24%
55%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2021 |
SAN
1 - 2
SPO
34%
25%
41%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2021 |
YAP
0 - 4
SAN
8%
20%
72%
|
59 | 27 | 32 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2021 |
FOR
0 - 1
SAN
75%
17%
8%
|
58 | 77 | 19 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
SAN
1 - 2
CSA
33%
26%
41%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Vera Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
NAU
3 - 1
VCR
86%
11%
3%
|
36 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2021 |
ACA
2 - 2
VCR
28%
25%
47%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
VCR
1 - 3
SPO
6%
18%
76%
|
36 | 72 | 36 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
YPI
1 - 1
VCR
23%
24%
53%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2020 |
VCR
2 - 1
LIM
58%
23%
19%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | +1 |