Santa Cruz vs Vasco da Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.6%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
50%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 1
BRA
48%
26%
26%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
PPE
1 - 1
SAN
61%
23%
16%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2014 |
JEC
1 - 1
SAN
57%
24%
19%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
SAN
3 - 0
BOA
52%
26%
22%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
AMF
1 - 0
SAN
49%
26%
25%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
VAS
2 - 0
BOA
76%
17%
7%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2014 |
POR
0 - 1
VAS
26%
26%
48%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
VAS
2 - 2
BRA
69%
20%
12%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
VAS
2 - 0
JEC
62%
22%
16%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2014 |
SAM
2 - 2
VAS
20%
26%
54%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |