Santa Cruz vs Vasco da Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.7%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.3%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
45%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2006 |
SAN
1 - 3
PAR
32%
27%
41%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2006 |
BOT
3 - 0
SAN
66%
20%
14%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2006 |
SAN
1 - 0
JUV
30%
27%
43%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2006 |
SAN
3 - 2
PAL
26%
25%
49%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
ATP
2 - 1
SAN
75%
17%
9%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2006 |
VAS
2 - 0
FOR
61%
23%
16%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2006 |
SAO
5 - 1
VAS
65%
20%
16%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2006 |
VAS
0 - 0
BOT
54%
24%
22%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2006 |
COR
1 - 1
VAS
52%
23%
24%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
VAS
0 - 0
GOI
48%
25%
28%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |