Santa Cruz vs Treze analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.9%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.7%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
16.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.2%
1-0
15.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.2%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
17.1%
7%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+69%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2020 |
PAY
0 - 0
SAN
49%
27%
24%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2020 |
SAN
0 - 0
SAL
75%
17%
9%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2020 |
SAL
1 - 1
SAN
16%
24%
60%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2020 |
SAN
0 - 0
NAU
53%
23%
24%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2020 |
CON
0 - 0
SAN
29%
26%
46%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Treze
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2020 |
TRE
0 - 1
CAM
55%
25%
21%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2020 |
CAM
0 - 2
TRE
34%
28%
38%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2020 |
TRE
2 - 0
BOT
14%
22%
64%
|
45 | 61 | 16 | +2 |
| 01 Aug. 2020 |
BOT
2 - 0
TRE
78%
15%
7%
|
46 | 61 | 15 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2020 |
TRE
1 - 0
CAM
42%
27%
31%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |