Santa Cruz vs Treze analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.2%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
17.5%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+110%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2012 |
SAL
2 - 2
SAN
45%
26%
29%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 1
GUA
47%
26%
28%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
SPO
2 - 3
SAN
73%
17%
10%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | +2 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
SAN
0 - 0
SPO
21%
24%
55%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2012 |
SAN
3 - 1
SAL
46%
25%
29%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Treze
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2012 |
ICA
3 - 0
TRE
56%
24%
20%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2012 |
SAL
2 - 0
TRE
50%
26%
24%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
TRE
1 - 3
SOU
53%
23%
25%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2012 |
SOU
2 - 0
TRE
35%
26%
39%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
SOU
3 - 2
TRE
33%
27%
41%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | -1 |