Santa Cruz vs Sport Recife analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
5.7%
Win probability
0.27
Expected goals
3-0
<0%
+3
<0%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.1%
+2
0.6%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
0.9%
3-2
0.1%
+1
5%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
15.1%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
0.7%
3-3
<0%
0
22.5%
71.8%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
24.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
30.2%
0-2
19.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.2%
-2
22.9%
0-3
10.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
11.9%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2025 |
SAN
1 - 0
RFC
24%
25%
52%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
NAU
2 - 1
SAN
76%
17%
8%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
SAN
2 - 0
AFO
66%
20%
14%
|
55 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2025 |
SAN
2 - 0
PET
68%
19%
13%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
SED
1 - 1
SAN
16%
21%
64%
|
54 | 32 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Sport Recife
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2025 |
SPO
4 - 1
ADJ
97%
3%
0%
|
88 | 27 | 61 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
CEN
0 - 1
SPO
7%
20%
73%
|
88 | 43 | 45 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2025 |
FER
1 - 2
SPO
20%
25%
55%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
SPO
1 - 1
RFC
83%
12%
5%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2025 |
SPO
1 - 1
SED
97%
2%
0%
|
88 | 33 | 55 | 0 |