Copa do Nordeste Semi-finals
Global 1-4
Santa Cruz vs Sport Recife analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.6%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
38.3%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
SAN
4 - 0
POR
75%
17%
9%
|
61 | 40 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2014 |
SPO
2 - 0
SAN
58%
23%
19%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
SAN
7 - 0
SAL
70%
19%
11%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2014 |
SPO
3 - 0
SAN
56%
23%
21%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2014 |
GUA
0 - 1
SAN
26%
26%
48%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Sport Recife
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
SAL
2 - 1
SPO
15%
22%
64%
|
67 | 49 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2014 |
SPO
2 - 0
SAN
58%
23%
19%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
CEN
0 - 2
SPO
14%
22%
64%
|
65 | 48 | 17 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2014 |
SPO
3 - 0
SAN
56%
23%
21%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2014 |
NAU
2 - 1
SPO
38%
25%
38%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |