Santa Cruz vs Serra Talhada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.9%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.7%
10.4%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
SAN
1 - 0
CEN
72%
19%
10%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
SAL
1 - 0
SAN
22%
26%
53%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
SAN
0 - 0
NAU
58%
23%
19%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2015 |
NAU
1 - 2
SAN
38%
26%
36%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
SAN
0 - 1
SAL
68%
20%
12%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Serra Talhada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
SER
0 - 2
NAU
21%
27%
53%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
SER
0 - 1
SPO
8%
18%
74%
|
45 | 74 | 29 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
SAL
2 - 2
SER
56%
25%
20%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2015 |
SER
1 - 0
SAL
24%
28%
49%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
SPO
4 - 2
SER
79%
15%
6%
|
44 | 74 | 30 | -1 |