Santa Cruz vs Sergipe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.8%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
13.2%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2022 |
SER
1 - 1
SAN
36%
28%
36%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
SAN
2 - 1
CSE
68%
19%
13%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
JAC
2 - 0
SAN
42%
29%
29%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
SAN
3 - 2
ALA
43%
26%
31%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2022 |
SDJ
1 - 0
SAN
39%
30%
31%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Sergipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2022 |
SER
1 - 1
SAN
36%
28%
36%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
ALA
0 - 0
SER
57%
25%
18%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2022 |
SER
0 - 0
LAG
54%
25%
22%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
CSE
2 - 2
SER
44%
27%
30%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
ASA
1 - 0
SER
45%
27%
29%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |