Santa Cruz vs SD Juazeirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
21.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2022 |
ALA
1 - 4
SAN
48%
28%
24%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2022 |
SAN
0 - 2
JAC
47%
26%
28%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
CSE
0 - 0
SAN
32%
28%
40%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
SAN
1 - 0
SER
67%
20%
13%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
SER
1 - 1
SAN
36%
28%
36%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
SD Juazeirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
SDJ
0 - 2
JAC
31%
28%
40%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2022 |
ALA
1 - 1
SDJ
44%
27%
29%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
SDJ
1 - 0
LAG
48%
27%
25%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
ASA
1 - 0
SDJ
29%
26%
45%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
SDJ
0 - 0
ASA
56%
25%
20%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |