Santa Cruz vs São Caetano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
41.1%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2006 |
SAN
4 - 1
CRZ
27%
27%
46%
|
65 | 83 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2006 |
COR
1 - 0
SAN
68%
20%
12%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2006 |
FLA
1 - 1
SAN
67%
20%
13%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2006 |
SAN
0 - 1
FOR
40%
28%
32%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2006 |
GOI
5 - 3
SAN
73%
17%
10%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2006 |
SAO
3 - 1
FFL
35%
27%
38%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2006 |
PPE
1 - 2
SAO
48%
25%
27%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2006 |
SAO
1 - 1
FLU
33%
26%
41%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
SAN
1 - 0
SAO
59%
23%
18%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2006 |
BOT
2 - 1
SAO
53%
24%
24%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |