Santa Cruz vs São Caetano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.8%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
41.9%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2001 |
CRZ
4 - 1
SAN
80%
14%
7%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2001 |
SAN
2 - 1
FLA
19%
22%
59%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2001 |
SAN
1 - 1
ATM
23%
24%
53%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2001 |
FLU
3 - 2
SAN
67%
20%
14%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2001 |
VAS
1 - 1
SAN
82%
13%
6%
|
68 | 87 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2001 |
SAO
3 - 2
GAM
72%
18%
10%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2001 |
SAO
1 - 0
PAL
27%
24%
49%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2001 |
PPE
3 - 6
SAO
74%
15%
11%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2001 |
SAO
4 - 1
PAR
48%
25%
27%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2001 |
COT
1 - 1
SAO
62%
20%
18%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |