Santa Cruz vs Sampaio Correa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.7%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.3%
16%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
BAR
1 - 3
SAN
19%
25%
56%
|
61 | 44 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
SAN
3 - 2
AGU
66%
21%
13%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2013 |
FOR
2 - 0
SAN
48%
26%
27%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
CUI
1 - 3
SAN
33%
28%
40%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
SAN
0 - 0
CRB
52%
25%
23%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Sampaio Correa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
SAM
0 - 0
CUI
56%
23%
21%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2013 |
LUV
2 - 2
SAM
64%
22%
14%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
BAR
1 - 0
SAM
25%
28%
47%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
SAM
0 - 1
AGU
69%
19%
13%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2013 |
SAM
4 - 2
TRE
58%
23%
20%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | +1 |