Pernambucano 1 Eliminatorias Final
Global 1-1
Santa Cruz vs Salgueiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.6%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.8%
8.6%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2020 |
SAL
1 - 1
SAN
16%
24%
60%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2020 |
SAN
0 - 0
NAU
53%
23%
24%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2020 |
CON
0 - 0
SAN
29%
26%
46%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2020 |
RIV
0 - 1
SAN
13%
21%
66%
|
65 | 42 | 23 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2020 |
SPO
1 - 2
SAN
65%
21%
14%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Salgueiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2020 |
SAL
1 - 1
SAN
16%
24%
60%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2020 |
SAL
3 - 0
AFO
49%
25%
26%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2020 |
SAL
1 - 2
NAU
20%
24%
57%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
ACA
0 - 1
SAL
15%
23%
61%
|
49 | 29 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
SAL
2 - 1
SED
66%
20%
14%
|
49 | 33 | 16 | 0 |