Santa Cruz vs Salgueiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.7%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
11%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
17%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17%
8.3%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
FOR
3 - 0
SAN
73%
18%
9%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2020 |
LTD
0 - 0
SAN
12%
18%
70%
|
61 | 42 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
SAN
1 - 0
ACA
86%
11%
3%
|
61 | 29 | 32 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2020 |
CRB
1 - 0
SAN
48%
25%
27%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
SAN
0 - 0
BAH
22%
25%
53%
|
61 | 79 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Salgueiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
RFC
0 - 1
SAL
40%
24%
36%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
SAL
2 - 0
PET
64%
22%
15%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
SAL
1 - 1
CEN
52%
24%
23%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
AFO
2 - 1
SAL
31%
24%
45%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Jun. 2019 |
FLU
1 - 0
SAL
36%
27%
37%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | -1 |