Pernambucano 1 Etapas Finales Quarter-finals
Global 1-2
Santa Cruz vs Salgueiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.1%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
11.8%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 2
NAU
59%
22%
19%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2017 |
BEL
0 - 4
SAN
6%
15%
79%
|
71 | 37 | 34 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 0
ITA
84%
12%
4%
|
71 | 47 | 24 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2017 |
ITA
0 - 1
SAN
9%
18%
73%
|
70 | 47 | 23 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
SPO
1 - 1
SAN
53%
24%
23%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Salgueiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
SAL
3 - 1
BEL
67%
22%
11%
|
59 | 37 | 22 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2017 |
SPO
2 - 2
SAL
73%
18%
9%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
CEN
0 - 2
SAL
16%
25%
59%
|
58 | 40 | 18 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
SAL
2 - 0
NAU
23%
26%
52%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
SAL
0 - 1
SAN
16%
22%
61%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | -1 |