Santa Cruz vs Salgueiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.9%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
18.8%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
GUA
1 - 1
SAN
38%
27%
36%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
SAN
6 - 1
AGU
56%
24%
21%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +2 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
LUV
2 - 1
SAN
53%
25%
22%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
FOR
2 - 0
SAN
65%
21%
14%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
SAN
4 - 0
ICA
49%
25%
26%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Salgueiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
TRE
4 - 0
SAL
42%
27%
31%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
CUI
1 - 1
SAL
44%
27%
29%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
SAL
1 - 1
PAY
34%
26%
41%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
SAL
2 - 1
ICA
48%
25%
27%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
AGU
2 - 2
SAL
45%
27%
28%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |