Copa do Brasil 1/64
Global 1-0
Santa Cruz vs Rio Branco ES analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.1%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.3%
7.6%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
CEA
0 - 1
SAN
44%
25%
31%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 1
CEA
48%
25%
27%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
AME
0 - 0
SAN
9%
18%
73%
|
69 | 39 | 30 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
BAH
1 - 0
SAN
43%
26%
31%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 1
NAU
53%
24%
23%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Rio Branco ES
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
LIN
3 - 2
RIO
32%
27%
42%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2016 |
RIO
1 - 2
REA
39%
25%
36%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
DES
1 - 0
RIO
39%
26%
35%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
ESP
1 - 0
RIO
21%
22%
57%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
RIO
2 - 0
ITA
61%
22%
17%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | +1 |