Santa Cruz vs Retro FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
21%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
SPO
2 - 2
SAN
78%
15%
7%
|
51 | 73 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
SSS
1 - 3
SAN
15%
25%
61%
|
51 | 30 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2022 |
SAL
2 - 1
SAN
31%
28%
42%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
SAN
3 - 0
ISC
79%
14%
7%
|
52 | 32 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2022 |
SAN
5 - 2
AFO
71%
18%
12%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Retro FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
CAR
2 - 1
RFC
15%
19%
67%
|
47 | 31 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
RFC
4 - 0
SSS
74%
17%
10%
|
47 | 30 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2022 |
NAU
1 - 2
RFC
81%
12%
7%
|
46 | 68 | 22 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2022 |
RFC
2 - 1
SPO
9%
17%
74%
|
45 | 73 | 28 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
VCR
1 - 2
RFC
26%
23%
50%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | +1 |