Santa Cruz vs CA Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.1%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
19%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2011 |
AME
1 - 2
SAN
19%
23%
59%
|
54 | 34 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
SAN
3 - 3
NAU
32%
25%
44%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
SAN
2 - 0
SAL
56%
23%
21%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2011 |
PET
0 - 3
SAN
21%
23%
56%
|
52 | 36 | 16 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
SAN
0 - 1
ARA
74%
16%
10%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
CA Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2011 |
POR
2 - 0
ACA
57%
22%
21%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
CEN
0 - 4
POR
43%
26%
32%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
POR
2 - 1
NAU
21%
22%
57%
|
46 | 62 | 16 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2011 |
POR
5 - 2
YPI
48%
24%
29%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
SAL
3 - 1
POR
47%
25%
27%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -1 |