Santa Cruz vs Ponte Preta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
40.4%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 0
JEC
36%
28%
36%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2014 |
BOA
0 - 2
SAN
36%
29%
36%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 1
AMF
35%
27%
38%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2014 |
OES
1 - 1
SAN
35%
29%
36%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
ICA
1 - 1
SAN
40%
28%
32%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Ponte Preta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2014 |
PPE
1 - 0
BOA
72%
19%
9%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2014 |
PAR
1 - 2
PPE
36%
28%
36%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
CEA
3 - 2
PPE
48%
26%
26%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2014 |
PPE
1 - 0
VIL
78%
16%
6%
|
74 | 49 | 25 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2014 |
OES
1 - 1
PPE
20%
26%
53%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | 0 |