Santa Cruz vs Ponte Preta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
46.5%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2001 |
SPO
1 - 2
SAN
65%
21%
15%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2001 |
GRE
1 - 0
SAN
73%
18%
9%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2001 |
GAM
2 - 0
SAN
47%
25%
28%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2001 |
SAN
3 - 2
PAR
33%
27%
40%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2001 |
BAH
2 - 1
SAN
70%
18%
12%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Ponte Preta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2001 |
PPE
1 - 1
GUA
60%
22%
19%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2001 |
BAH
3 - 2
PPE
52%
24%
24%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2001 |
PPE
1 - 5
ATP
52%
23%
25%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2001 |
AMF
1 - 4
PPE
31%
28%
41%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2001 |
PPE
1 - 1
GAM
84%
11%
6%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |