Santa Cruz vs Paraná analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
32.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
POR
1 - 1
SAN
69%
20%
11%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 1
ABC
53%
25%
22%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
SPO
1 - 0
SAN
55%
24%
22%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2014 |
LAG
0 - 1
SAN
11%
19%
70%
|
64 | 33 | 31 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
SAN
3 - 0
SPO
33%
25%
42%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
PAR
2 - 3
JEC
43%
28%
29%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2014 |
PAR
1 - 1
PPE
37%
26%
36%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
SAM
0 - 2
PAR
24%
27%
50%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2014 |
PAR
3 - 1
SAO
51%
26%
24%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +2 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
PAR
0 - 2
ATP
28%
26%
46%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | -1 |