Santa Cruz vs Paraná analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
39.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2001 |
BAH
2 - 1
SAN
70%
18%
12%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2001 |
SAN
1 - 5
ATP
22%
25%
54%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2001 |
SAN
0 - 0
POR
28%
25%
47%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2001 |
COR
2 - 2
SAN
79%
14%
7%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2001 |
SAN
0 - 1
SAO
32%
26%
42%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2001 |
ATP
1 - 1
PAR
62%
21%
17%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2001 |
PAR
1 - 2
AMF
54%
24%
22%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2001 |
PAR
1 - 0
SAN
36%
27%
37%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2001 |
ATM
4 - 0
PAR
63%
21%
17%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2001 |
PAR
2 - 0
VAS
29%
26%
45%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | +1 |