Santa Cruz vs Palmeiras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.3%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.3%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
61.8%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2001 |
SAO
3 - 1
SAN
82%
13%
6%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2001 |
SAN
1 - 2
SCI
27%
27%
46%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2001 |
SAN
0 - 4
BOT
25%
24%
51%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2001 |
SAN
1 - 1
SAN
81%
13%
6%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2001 |
GRE
3 - 1
SAN
73%
16%
11%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2001 |
PAL
3 - 1
AMF
76%
15%
9%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2001 |
JUV
0 - 0
PAL
30%
26%
44%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2001 |
PAL
2 - 1
BAH
71%
17%
12%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2001 |
GUA
1 - 3
PAL
38%
25%
37%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2001 |
PAL
2 - 2
RIV
61%
20%
19%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |