Série C Quarter-finals
Global 1-3
Santa Cruz vs Operário PR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.5%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
23.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 0
SAL
65%
22%
14%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2018 |
SDJ
0 - 0
SAN
24%
28%
49%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
SAN
4 - 0
CON
57%
24%
20%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2018 |
BOT
2 - 0
SAN
46%
27%
28%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 1
GLO
70%
19%
11%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Operário PR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
LUV
1 - 0
OPE
53%
25%
22%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
OPE
1 - 1
BRA
44%
27%
29%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
BOT
2 - 2
OPE
58%
24%
18%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2018 |
OPE
1 - 1
CUI
41%
28%
31%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2018 |
TOM
0 - 1
OPE
38%
28%
34%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |