Santa Cruz vs Oeste analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.4%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
27.6%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
FFL
2 - 1
SAN
42%
28%
31%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
SAN
0 - 1
AMF
41%
28%
31%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
SCI
2 - 0
SAN
72%
19%
10%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2017 |
SAN
0 - 0
CEA
44%
26%
30%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
LON
1 - 1
SAN
49%
26%
24%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Oeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
OES
0 - 1
CEA
39%
28%
34%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
OES
3 - 0
GUA
56%
26%
19%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
AMF
1 - 2
OES
54%
27%
20%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2017 |
OES
4 - 1
LON
36%
29%
35%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
LUV
0 - 0
OES
48%
27%
25%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |