Santa Cruz vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.4%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
22.3%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2017 |
SAN
0 - 0
BEL
87%
10%
3%
|
71 | 37 | 34 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
NAU
1 - 1
SAN
40%
25%
35%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2017 |
CAM
1 - 1
SAN
11%
19%
70%
|
71 | 48 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
SAO
5 - 0
SAN
52%
25%
23%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
SAN
5 - 1
GRE
26%
28%
46%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | +3 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2017 |
CEN
0 - 1
NAU
8%
17%
76%
|
67 | 41 | 26 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
NAU
1 - 1
SAN
40%
25%
35%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2017 |
NAU
4 - 0
UNI
84%
12%
3%
|
67 | 38 | 29 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
NAU
0 - 2
OES
67%
21%
13%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
TUP
1 - 4
NAU
24%
27%
49%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | +1 |