Santa Cruz vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.4%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
23.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2005 |
PET
1 - 2
SAN
12%
19%
69%
|
67 | 33 | 34 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2005 |
YPI
0 - 2
SAN
11%
18%
70%
|
67 | 40 | 27 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2005 |
SAN
3 - 1
ACA
84%
11%
5%
|
67 | 35 | 32 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
SPO
0 - 1
SAN
38%
26%
35%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2005 |
SAN
2 - 0
GUA
38%
26%
36%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2005 |
POR
2 - 2
NAU
14%
19%
67%
|
66 | 38 | 28 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2005 |
NAU
4 - 2
SPO
54%
23%
23%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2005 |
YPI
1 - 2
NAU
15%
20%
66%
|
65 | 40 | 25 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2005 |
NAU
3 - 0
PET
87%
9%
4%
|
65 | 32 | 33 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2005 |
COT
3 - 0
NAU
65%
21%
14%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | -1 |