Santa Cruz vs Mogi Mirim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
19.9%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
SAN
1 - 0
BOT
29%
28%
42%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
OES
1 - 0
SAN
36%
28%
36%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2015 |
SAN
3 - 1
BAH
36%
29%
35%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
CRI
0 - 0
SAN
45%
27%
29%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2015 |
SAN
3 - 0
ATL
52%
26%
22%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Mogi Mirim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
MOG
2 - 2
ABC
47%
27%
27%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
PAY
1 - 1
MOG
56%
23%
21%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2015 |
MOG
2 - 3
BRA
50%
25%
25%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
CEA
2 - 3
MOG
66%
20%
14%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 2015 |
MOG
3 - 1
MAC
34%
27%
39%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |