Santa Cruz vs EC Juventude analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.4%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.4%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
43.1%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2006 |
SAN
3 - 2
PAL
26%
25%
49%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
ATP
2 - 1
SAN
75%
17%
9%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2006 |
PPE
2 - 0
SAN
62%
21%
16%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2006 |
SAN
1 - 3
SAO
16%
23%
61%
|
68 | 87 | 19 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2006 |
SAN
0 - 2
SCI
24%
26%
51%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
EC Juventude
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2006 |
BOT
2 - 1
JUV
48%
24%
27%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2006 |
JUV
1 - 0
SAO
39%
27%
34%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
JUV
2 - 0
CRZ
35%
27%
39%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2006 |
GOI
2 - 0
JUV
56%
22%
22%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2006 |
JUV
1 - 0
FLA
41%
28%
32%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |