Copa do Nordeste Quarter-finals
Global 2-0
Santa Cruz vs Itabaiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.5%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
11.2%
3-0
14.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
17.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.7%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.6%
12.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.1%
0
12.1%
3.9%
Win probability
0.38
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2017 |
ITA
0 - 1
SAN
9%
18%
73%
|
70 | 47 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
SPO
1 - 1
SAN
53%
24%
23%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 0
CAM
79%
15%
6%
|
70 | 52 | 18 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
SAN
5 - 1
CEN
85%
12%
4%
|
70 | 41 | 29 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
NAU
1 - 0
SAN
35%
25%
40%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Itabaiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2017 |
ITA
0 - 1
SAN
9%
18%
73%
|
47 | 70 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
ITA
0 - 0
SER
43%
27%
30%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2017 |
CRB
0 - 0
ITA
77%
16%
7%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
AFP
1 - 2
ITA
22%
25%
54%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2017 |
CON
0 - 1
ITA
65%
21%
14%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | +1 |