Santa Cruz vs Icasa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.1%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.2%
14.7%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2014 |
LUV
2 - 1
SAN
38%
27%
35%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
PAR
3 - 2
SAN
44%
28%
28%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 0
POR
41%
28%
31%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
ABC
2 - 1
SAN
43%
27%
30%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 0
ATL
46%
26%
28%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Icasa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2014 |
ICA
0 - 1
VIL
63%
21%
15%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
ICA
1 - 1
JEC
24%
27%
50%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2014 |
SAM
3 - 2
ICA
57%
24%
19%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
ICA
0 - 1
PPE
23%
26%
51%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2014 |
BOA
2 - 0
ICA
48%
27%
26%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |