Copa do Nordeste Quarter-finals
Global 4-0
Santa Cruz vs Guarany de Sobral analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.7%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
13.4%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2014 |
POR
1 - 0
SAN
18%
24%
59%
|
62 | 41 | 21 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
SAN
4 - 2
CEN
71%
18%
10%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2014 |
VIT
0 - 1
SAN
20%
24%
56%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 1
BAH
31%
27%
42%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2014 |
CSA
1 - 1
SAN
28%
25%
47%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Guarany de Sobral
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2014 |
GUA
1 - 1
NAU
26%
25%
49%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
BOT
1 - 0
GUA
53%
23%
24%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2014 |
GUA
1 - 0
SPO
18%
22%
60%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
SPO
0 - 0
GUA
76%
16%
9%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2014 |
GUA
2 - 1
BOT
41%
26%
33%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | +1 |