Santa Cruz vs Guarany de Sobral analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.8%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
27.8%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
CSA
1 - 2
SAN
55%
24%
21%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2010 |
SAN
0 - 1
ABC
28%
24%
48%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
SAN
2 - 0
POT
69%
18%
12%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2010 |
CON
1 - 1
SAN
35%
26%
39%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2010 |
CRB
3 - 1
SAN
49%
24%
27%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Guarany de Sobral
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
SAM
2 - 2
GUA
43%
27%
31%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
GUA
5 - 0
FLA
66%
21%
13%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2010 |
JVL
3 - 0
GUA
38%
26%
36%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2010 |
GUA
4 - 0
JVL
49%
25%
26%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2010 |
FLA
2 - 2
GUA
25%
26%
50%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | -1 |